This marathon is in the top 10 largest in the nation and has been going on since 1954! I feel like this one should be on my to-do list but, man, there are just too many good marathons to do and not enough time!
This marathon followed much of the same trends we have been seeing with fewer finishers and thus, fewer qualifiers.
AG Group | 2014 Qualifiers | 2014 AG Total | Percentage | 2015 Qualifiers | 2015 AG Total | Percentage |
F18-34 | 278 | 2998 | 9.27% | 282 | 2680 | 10.52% |
F35-39 | 97 | 920 | 10.54% | 104 | 793 | 13.11% |
F40-44 | 80 | 808 | 9.90% | 60 | 660 | 9.09% |
F45-49 | 89 | 555 | 16.04% | 82 | 502 | 16.33% |
F50-54 | 49 | 350 | 14.00% | 48 | 306 | 15.69% |
F55-59 | 18 | 166 | 10.84% | 19 | 124 | 15.32% |
F60-64 | 9 | 52 | 17.31% | 9 | 50 | 18.00% |
F65-69 | 0 | 11 | 0.00% | 2 | 16 | 12.50% |
F70-74 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 0 | 2 | 0.00% |
F75-79 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 0 | 2 | 0.00% |
F80+ | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 1 | 1 | 100.00% |
M18-34 | 270 | 2752 | 9.81% | 261 | 2413 | 10.82% |
M35-39 | 105 | 1072 | 9.79% | 96 | 975 | 9.85% |
M40-44 | 101 | 1126 | 8.97% | 95 | 959 | 9.91% |
M45-49 | 147 | 936 | 15.71% | 108 | 791 | 13.65% |
M50-54 | 103 | 697 | 14.78% | 83 | 538 | 15.43% |
M55-59 | 63 | 399 | 15.79% | 58 | 368 | 15.76% |
M60-64 | 29 | 181 | 16.02% | 30 | 148 | 20.27% |
M65-69 | 9 | 53 | 16.98% | 14 | 76 | 18.42% |
M70-74 | 2 | 20 | 10.00% | 1 | 12 | 8.33% |
M75-79 | 0 | 7 | 0.00% | 0 | 8 | 0.00% |
M80+ | 0 | 3 | 0.00% | 0 | 1 | 0.00% |
Totals | 1449 | 13108 | 11.05% | 1353 | 11425 | 11.84% |
With this race, though, the qualification rate was up so the difference in total qualifiers is less than 100. This corresponds to a decrease of 6.6%.
Margin | 2014 | Percentage | 2015 | Percentage |
<1 minute | 98 | 6.76% | 74 | 5.47% |
1-2 minutes | 84 | 5.80% | 74 | 5.47% |
2-3 minutes | 94 | 6.49% | 89 | 6.58% |
3-4 minutes | 59 | 4.07% | 65 | 4.80% |
4-5 minutes | 81 | 5.59% | 51 | 3.77% |
5-10 minutes | 274 | 18.91% | 254 | 18.77% |
10-20 minutes | 353 | 24.36% | 338 | 24.98% |
20> minutes | 406 | 28.02% | 408 | 30.16% |
Totals | 1449 | 1353 |
No surprise here, The Squeaker Pack shrank from 28.71% to 26.09%.
Overall Numbers
Given where we are at in the analysis, it's going to take a whole lot more than the above numbers to move the needle either way.AG Group | 2014 Qualifiers | 2014 AG Total | Percentage | 2015 Qualifiers | 2015 AG Total | Percentage |
F18-34 | 2522 | 32218 | 7.83% | 2327 | 30771 | 7.56% |
F35-39 | 1079 | 12303 | 8.77% | 1071 | 12146 | 8.82% |
F40-44 | 1075 | 11582 | 9.28% | 1003 | 11134 | 9.01% |
F45-49 | 1072 | 7977 | 13.44% | 1022 | 8218 | 12.44% |
F50-54 | 636 | 5224 | 12.17% | 689 | 5471 | 12.59% |
F55-59 | 349 | 2625 | 13.30% | 333 | 2564 | 12.99% |
F60-64 | 154 | 1067 | 14.43% | 160 | 1108 | 14.44% |
F65-69 | 44 | 335 | 13.13% | 50 | 365 | 13.70% |
F70-74 | 9 | 97 | 9.28% | 9 | 108 | 8.33% |
F75-79 | 1 | 24 | 4.17% | 1 | 20 | 5.00% |
F80+ | 1 | 3 | 33.33% | 2 | 7 | 28.57% |
M18-34 | 2225 | 29079 | 7.65% | 2051 | 27125 | 7.56% |
M35-39 | 1069 | 15112 | 7.07% | 1080 | 14373 | 7.51% |
M40-44 | 1235 | 16226 | 7.61% | 1182 | 15098 | 7.83% |
M45-49 | 1458 | 12915 | 11.29% | 1359 | 12754 | 10.66% |
M50-54 | 1167 | 10079 | 11.58% | 1045 | 9919 | 10.54% |
M55-59 | 698 | 5817 | 12.00% | 707 | 6006 | 11.77% |
M60-64 | 435 | 2995 | 14.52% | 461 | 3006 | 15.34% |
M65-69 | 192 | 1213 | 15.83% | 182 | 1266 | 14.38% |
M70-74 | 56 | 427 | 13.11% | 50 | 423 | 11.82% |
M75-79 | 8 | 109 | 7.34% | 11 | 125 | 8.80% |
M80+ | 0 | 22 | 0.00% | 2 | 29 | 6.90% |
Totals | 15485 | 167449 | 9.25% | 14797 | 162036 | 9.13% |
We are looking at a 4.4% decrease in qualifiers, year over year.
Margin | 2014 | Percentage | 2015 | Percentage |
<1 minute | 982 | 6.34% | 846 | 5.72% |
1-2 minutes | 931 | 6.01% | 856 | 5.78% |
2-3 minutes | 884 | 5.71% | 786 | 5.31% |
3-4 minutes | 768 | 4.96% | 735 | 4.97% |
4-5 minutes | 739 | 4.77% | 603 | 4.08% |
5-10 minutes | 3181 | 20.54% | 3060 | 20.68% |
10-20 minutes | 4099 | 26.47% | 4054 | 27.40% |
20> minutes | 3901 | 25.19% | 3857 | 26.07% |
Totals | 15485 | 14797 |
The Squeaker Pack shrank from 27.79% to 25.86%. So, as I state pretty much at every update, more folks qualifying with more than 5 minutes of margin.
What does this mean for the cutoff? Sorry to say that the update is a bit of a snoozer.
The number of runners in the previous qualification year achieving 147 seconds of margin was 13,137. Taking this year's data up to this point, the 13,137th runner has a margin of
1:57 or 117 seconds
No change with the addition of Philly.